85% Chance of ‘Super El Niño’ in the Northern Hemisphere Next Year: Impact on Southeast Asia and Global Weather
Image Source: NDTV
There is a growing concern in the scientific community about the potential development of a “super” El Niño event in the Northern Hemisphere in the coming year. El Niño, characterized by warming sea-surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, can have profound effects on global weather patterns, often leading to extreme weather events in various regions. The latest predictions from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) suggest a 75-85% chance of a “strong” El Niño event, with temperatures exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius over a specific area of the central-eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. This potential El Niño could have far-reaching consequences on weather, agriculture, and the global economy.
El Niño typically leads to contrasting weather patterns in different parts of the world. While it causes heavy rains and flooding in South America, it can result in scorching heat and droughts in Asia and East Africa. An exceptionally strong El Niño, as projected, could have even more profound and abrupt effects on weather systems. This phenomenon could disrupt the Earth’s jet streams, impacting the distribution of monsoon rainfall throughout the Indian subcontinent. Therefore, the global implications of this event on precipitation and, possibly, winter temperatures are significant.
One of the most significant impacts of an El Niño event, especially a strong one, is on agriculture. Chris Hyde, a meteorologist at Maxar, noted that a powerful El Niño can lead to drier and warmer conditions in regions that rely on agriculture, such as South Africa, Southeast Asia, Australia, and Brazil. These areas could experience reduced crop yields, affecting food production and potentially leading to economic challenges.
India, in particular, is closely monitoring the situation as it continues to grapple with water shortages. The deficient southwest monsoon rainfall has left reservoirs with below-average water levels, raising concerns about agricultural output in the upcoming season. While the India Meteorological Department suggests that some positive factors, like the Indian Ocean Dipole and Madden-Julian Oscillation, may mitigate the impact of El Niño, the overall situation remains uncertain. Despite the potential interference of El Niño, South India is expected to receive “normal” rainfall during the northeast monsoon season, which runs from October to December.
The looming possibility of a “super” El Niño event in the Northern Hemisphere next year is a cause for concern. Its effects on global weather patterns, agriculture, and the economy could be significant. The world will be closely watching the development of this event, as its consequences may extend far beyond regional weather patterns. Preparations and strategies for managing the potential impacts of El Niño will be crucial for governments and communities worldwide.
Team Profile
- News Writer
- Harshit Tokas is a Political Science and International Affairs Post-Graduate with a passion for understanding and analyzing complex political landscapes. Skilled in research, data analysis, and policy development. Eager to contribute his knowledge and insights to drive positive change.
Latest entries
English1 December 2023Ambati Rayudu Backs Ruturaj Gaikwad as a Future Leader of Indian Cricket
News1 December 2023Changing Tide: Pujara and Rahane Omitted from South Africa Tour Squad
News1 December 2023India Greenlights Procurement of Advanced Military Assets in Multi-billion Defence Upgrade
News1 December 2023Delhi Government Pushes for Completion of Asia’s Largest Wastewater Treatment Plant
